COMMITTEE ON LEGISLATIVE RESEARCH

OVERSIGHT DIVISION



FISCAL NOTE



L.R. No.: 3680-01

Bill No.: SB 894

Subject: Revenue Dept.; Taxation and Revenue - Sales and Use; Business and Commerce

Type: Original

Date: January 28, 2002




FISCAL SUMMARY



ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON STATE FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005
General Revenue Less than $6,878,826 Unknown to ($2,566,245) Unknown
School District Trust ($643,196) ($817,863) $0
Conservation ($80,400) ($102,233) $0
Parks and Soil ($64,320) ($81,786) $0
Total Estimated

Net Effect on All

State Funds

LESS THAN $6,090,910 UNKNOWN to ($3,568,127) UNKNOWN



ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON FEDERAL FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005
None
Total Estimated

Net Effect on All

Federal Funds

$0 $0 $0



ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON LOCAL FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005
Local Government $0 $0 to ($1,226,795) $0

Numbers within parentheses: ( ) indicate costs or losses.

This fiscal note contains 6 pages.

FISCAL ANALYSIS

ASSUMPTION



Sales Tax Holiday

Officials of the Office of Administration - Division of Budget and Planning (BAP) assume this portion of the proposal would allow for a sales tax "holiday" for a specified period for specified items.



BAP estimates the annual consumer spending in Missouri on clothing and shoes based on national estimates from the U.S. Department of Commerce - Bureau of Economic Analysis. BAP staff assumes Missouri represents 1.8% of U.S. totals. BAP staff estimates taxable sales for FY2003 to be $6,802,000,000 and taxable sales for FY 2004 to be $7,197,000,000.



BAP states, as was the case with similar proposals from last year, there is no information available that addresses what percent of these expenditures would qualify for the exemption or how effective this program would be in so far as motivating the public to shop for clothing during the tax "holiday".



BAP has estimated the level of Missouri consumer spending on "Stationary/School" supplies for FY03 at $241,000,000 and for FY04 at $266,000,000. The estimate is based on national data from the U.S. Department of Commerce - Bureau of Economic Analysis. BAP assumes that Missouri represents 1.8% of the national total which is Missouri's share of U.S. personal income. BAP assumes growth for 2001 and beyond, is the average of the increase for 1999 and 2000.



Officials of the Department of Revenue (DOR) state this legislation establishes a sales tax holiday for clothing and school supplies for four days in August. The state will reimburse the political subdivision for any lost revenues due to the exemption.



DOR assumes they are responsible for tracking and distributing the lost revenue portion back to the locals and subsequent impact associated with the local opt out provision. In order to track the lost revenue by locality the clothing and school supplies sales will need to be separately stated on the sales tax return with a new location (clothing/school supplies) on the return (similar to food). The sales tax report for August will affect all registrants (annual, quarterly and monthly). DOR assumes this will most likely result in some single and two location voucher filers to report on a long form for at least one month/quarter. DOR will need one TPT l for every additional 34,000 errors generated, one Clerk ll in pre-edit for every 184,000 returns impacted and one Data Entry Operator l for every 170,000 returns impacted.



The DOR will also need to send notification letters and a long sales tax form to approximately 100,000 sales tax accounts in August. DOR estimates the postage cost to notify the businesses will be approximately $26,800.



ASSUMPTION (continued)



DOR assumes the MITS system will need to be modified to recognize the new item tax. The figures reported on the new item tax will need to be calculated and broken down into tax types in order to reimburse the lost revenue to the political subdivisions. The changes to MITS will require modifications to several tables, and distribution programs and registration subsystem. The changes in sales tax refunds will also required changes to the refund mechanism in MITS. The above modifications will require 2,768 hours of programming at a total cost of $92,340. The State Data Center cost to implement the proposed legislation will be $18,013. The DOR did not provide an estimate of revenue loss associated with the sales tax holiday.



Oversight, for purposes of this fiscal note, has reflected the loss in sales tax revenue based upon the estimate provided by the BAP and the actual impact similar legislation had on other states. The revenue estimate was based on 4/365 of the fiscal year taxable sales resulting in a loss to state funds of $2.7 million in FY 2003 and $3.5 million in FY 2004 due to the sales tax holidays. No adjustment was made for the $100 and $50 caps. Also, no adjustment was made for any incentive effect this portion of the proposal might have on spending habits. The actual loss to state funds from this sales tax holiday could be significantly higher than estimated. Oversight assumes the Department of Revenue will enforce the provisions of the bill through post-audit in the field. If compliance is not monitored, the revenue impact could increase.



Oversight assumes the mailing costs would be incurred in July before the August sales tax holiday. In addition, Oversight has included the programming costs and FTE requested since this legislation includes a reimbursement to local government for any local sales tax revenue lost for FY03 and it is assumed DOR will be required to track the sales tax revenue lost.



For a similar prior proposal, Oversight contacted three states that enacted similar legislation, the State of Texas, the State of Florida and the State of New York. Texas had a Sales Tax Holiday on clothing and footwear during a three day period in August, 1999. Florida had a nine

day sales tax holiday period on clothing and footwear in August, 1998, and New York has had several such "holidays" in 1997, 1998 and 1999. Oversight assumes that similar impacts would occur in Missouri and have applied their taxable sales during the holidays to the Gross State

Product in Chained (1992) Dollars, by industry from the U.S. Census Bureau, the Official Statistics, Statistical Abstract of the United States: 2000 to determine what Missouri's taxable sales in a similar period might be. The comparison reveals that by using the Office of

Administration, Budget and Planning's estimated sales of clothing and footwear in Missouri for a given fiscal year, a reasonable estimate could be made to the actual impact a sales tax holiday

would have. Oversight assumes that the same impact will occur whether the exemption applied

to clothing or shoes under $500 as it would for clothing under $100. Oversight also assumes that the results could be applied over a four day exemption as it would for a seven day exemption, as it would for a thirty-one day exemption.



ASSUMPTION (continued)



Sales tax refunds

Officials from the Department of Revenue (DOR) assume this legislation requires that a refund of sales tax be refunded or credited to the person who originally paid the sales tax. The person who remits the tax must demonstrate that the sales tax refund will be refunded to the person who originally paid the tax.



The DOR assume the proposed legislation will also require additional documentation on refund claims. The DOR estimates approximately $10 million of refunds most likely would not be refunded because of the proposed legislation. This figure is subject to change, depending on the types/amounts of refund claims received. The DOR believes language asking for an amended return to be filed along with the duplicate refund request should be added to the legislation. In prior fiscal impacts, the department estimated this amount might be as high as $22 million. However, on further review, the department has reduced this amount based on an implementation plan that would allow retailers to distribute these refunds using customer discounts and coupons.



In a response to a prior similar proposal, DOR assumed a minimal impact on programming to be completed with existing resources.



Since DOR's estimate is based on prior year refund amounts and DOR assumes taxpayers will become better informed about sales tax rules and not overcharge customers in the future with the passage of this legislation, Oversight has shown the fiscal impact in FY04 and FY05 as unknown.



FISCAL IMPACT - State Government FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005
GENERAL REVENUE FUND
Revenue - General Revenue Fund

Reduction in sales tax refunds

Less than

$10,000,000



Unknown


Unknown
Cost - Dept. of Revenue (DOR)
Personnel (3 FTE) ($50,600) ($62,238) $0
Fringe Benefits ($18,221) ($22,412) $0
Expense and Equipment ($20,816) ($1,206) $0
Postage ($26,800) ($26,800) $0
Programming & State Data Center ($110,353) $0 $0
Total Costs - DOR ($226,790) ($112,656) $0
Loss to General Revenue Fund
Sales tax holiday ($1,929,589) ($2,453,589) $0
Transfer to Local Government

Reimbursement for loss in local sales tax revenue





($964,795)




$0




$0
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON

GENERAL REVENUE FUND

Less than

$6,878,826

Unknown to

($2,566,245)



Unknown
Loss to School District Trust Fund
Sales tax holiday ($643,196) ($817,863) $0


Loss to Conservation Fund
Sales tax holiday ($80,400) ($102,233) $0
Loss to Parks and Soil Funds
Sales tax holiday ($64,320) ($81,786) $0


ESTIMATED NET EFFECT TO

ALL STATE FUNDS



Less than

$6,090,910



Unknown to

($3,568,127)





Unknown




FISCAL IMPACT - Local Government FY 2003 FY 2004 FY 2005
Income from General Revenue

Reimbursement



$964,795


$0


$0
Loss to Cities

Sales tax holiday



($578,877)
$0 to

($736,077)



$0
Loss to Counties

Sales tax holiday



($385,918)
$0 to

($490,718)



$0
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT TO

LOCAL GOVERNMENT



$0
$0 to ($1,226,795)

$0




FISCAL IMPACT - Small Business



This legislation could affect all businesses that collect sales tax. Sales tax paperwork will be increased for the month that the "holiday" sales tax days are exempt.





DESCRIPTION



Section 144.049 Sales Tax Holiday

This act creates a state and local sales tax holiday for items of clothing (costing no more than $100 each) and school supplies (costing no more than $50 per purchase) sold during a four-day period in August 2002 and 2003. The state will reimburse all local tax revenues lost in calendar year 2002 and individual political subdivisions may, by ordinance, opt their local sales taxes out of the holiday exemption beginning in calendar year 2003. A joint legislative committee is created to study and review the effect of the sales tax holiday and to report their findings and recommendations to the General Assembly by January 8, 2004.



The act has an emergency clause and a sunset date of July 1, 2004.



Section 144.190 Sales Tax Refunds

This bill requires that any request for a refund of sales taxes by a person who collects and remits the tax will only be granted if the person demonstrates to the satisfaction of the Director of Revenue that the amount will be refunded or credited to the person who originally paid the sales tax. The restriction will not apply if the person seeking the refund shows to the director's satisfaction that he or she originally paid the tax and that it was not collected from the purchasers.



This legislation is not federally mandated, would not duplicate any other program and would not require additional capital improvements or rental space.





SOURCES OF INFORMATION



Department of Revenue

Office of Administration

Division of Budget and Planning

States of Texas, Florida and New York

Mickey Wilson, CPA

Acting Director

January 28, 2002