COMMITTEE ON LEGISLATIVE RESEARCH

OVERSIGHT DIVISION



FISCAL NOTE



L.R. No.: 4574-11

Bill No.: SCS for SB 1371

Subject: Elderly

Type: Original

Date: March 15, 2004




FISCAL SUMMARY



ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON GENERAL REVENUE FUND
FUND AFFECTED FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007
Total Estimated

Net Effect on

General Revenue

Fund

$0 $0 $0



ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON OTHER STATE FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007
Missouri Senior Rx* $0 $13,602,812 $18,108,018
Total Estimated

Net Effect on All

State Funds

$0 $13,602,812 $18,108,018

*Costs of program subject to appropriations

Numbers within parentheses: ( ) indicate costs or losses.

This fiscal note contains 10 pages.











ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON FEDERAL FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007
Total Estimated

Net Effect on All

Federal Funds

$0 $0 $0



ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON LOCAL FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007
Local Government $0 $0 $0




FISCAL ANALYSIS



ASSUMPTION

Officials from the Missouri Senate, the Missouri House of Representatives, the Lieutenant Governor's Office, the Department of Social Services, and the Department of Mental Health assume this proposal would not fiscally impact their agencies.



The Office of Attorney General assume that any potential costs arising from this proposal can be absorbed with existing resources.



Officials from the Office of the Secretary of State (SOS) state this proposal establishes procedures for establishing the Missouri Senior Prescription Plan. The Department of Health and Senior Services would promulgate rules to enact the legislation. Based on experience with other divisions, the rules, regulations and forms issued by the Department of Health and Senior Services could require as many as 60 pages in the Code of State Regulations. For any given rule, roughly one-half again as many pages are published in the Missouri Register as are published in the Code because cost statements, fiscal notes and notices are not published in the Code. The estimated cost of a page in the Missouri Register is $23.00. The estimated cost of a page in the Code of State Regulations is $27.00. The actual costs could be more or less than the numbers given. The fiscal impact of this legislation in future years is unknown and depends upon the frequency and length of rules filed, amended, rescinded and withdrawn. The SOS estimates the ASSUMPTION (continued)



cost of this legislation to be $1,476 in FY 05.



Oversight assumes the SOS could absorb the costs of printing and distributing regulations related to this proposal. If multiple bills pass which require the printing and distribution of regulations at substantial costs, the SOS could request funding through the appropriation process.

Any decisions to raise fees to defray costs would likely be made in subsequent fiscal years.



Officials from the Department of Health and Senior Services (DOH) assume this proposal would have a significant impact on the DOH. It replaces a current program with a similar one that is designed to compliment changes in the federal Medicare law.



This proposal would reduce costs for the DOH. The current Senior Rx Program covers 60% of prescription drug costs for low-income seniors after they meet an annual deductible of $250 to $500, with a maximum benefit of $5,000. The new Plan would cover approximately the same group of seniors but the benefit does not start until the senior has $2,250 in annual drug costs. Then the new Plan will pay 75% of drug costs, up to a maximum payout of $2,137.50.



Potential Enrollment - DOH states census data for seniors below 200% of the federal poverty level were obtained from the state's demographer. For seniors below 150% of the federal poverty level, only those with assets above $10,000 (single) and $20,000 (married) would not be eligible for the federal low-income assistance program and would require assistance through the proposed Senior Rx Plan. Trying to estimate the number of seniors that would not meet the assets test has been problematic. DOH has consulted the federal Department of Health and Human Services, reports from the Kaiser Foundation, a private firm, and the Missouri Division of Medical Services. All sources agree that there is no data available on assets of low-income seniors. All sources did agree that the number of seniors that would not meet the asset test for the federal low-income subsidy would be quite low. For the purpose of this fiscal note DOH estimated that 10% of Missouri seniors below 150% of the poverty level would not meet the federal assets test and would qualify for the new Senior Rx Program. DOH further assumes all seniors that both qualify for and would benefit from the Program would enroll.



Drug Costs -DOH estimates of drug utilization and costs were based on those experienced by the Senior Rx Program between July 1, 2003 and January 31, 2004 adjusted as needed for operating periods in FY2006 and FY2007. Drug costs were estimated to increase by 7% per annum.



Personnel and Related Costs - DOH assumed that the current Senior Rx Program staff plus four health Rep III's would be sufficient staff to meet the needs of the new Plan plus the clearinghouse. There is sufficient space currently to house this staff and only three of the new ASSUMPTION (continued)



Health Reps would need some equipment.



Fiscal Year 2006 Fiscal Year 2007
Commission Expense $1,250 $2,500
Outreach $125,000 $250,000
Drug Costs $3,173,256 $16,150,365
Coordination expense $60,778 $302,237
Network Allocation $10,000 $20,000
Indirect costs $108,963 $219,726
Total $3,479,247 $16,944,828

DOH states travel costs and other expenses for the new commission are based on expenses actually incurred by the current Senior Rx Program.



DOH states outreach expense is based on what the current Senior Rx Program is spending. It would not only include outreach, education and information on the new Senior Prescription Plan but also the clearinghouse. In addition to these expenses the new Medicare Part D law has earmarked $62,500,000 of federal year 2005 and $62,500,00 in federal year 2006 to state pharmaceutical programs to do outreach, education, information and assistance related to the state program and the new Medicare Part D benefit. The DOH believes Missouri's share of the earmarked funds would amount to $1,300,000 in each year. DOH also believes these funds could be used to supplement outreach efforts of for both the new Senior Prescription Plan and the clearinghouse.



Coordination expense - Medicare drug plans under the new federal law may charge state pharmacy plans that are attempting to coordinate with Medicare a fee for this service. No amount is specified under federal law for this service. Potential Medicare plan providers have not yet identified themselves and started to enroll as providers. To estimate the fees these providers might charge DOH used the rate the current Senior Rx Program's benefit manager is charging ($.5746 per claim) adjusted for 5% per annum inflation. DOH increased the number of claims predicted in our estimated drug costs by 24% to allow for denied and reversed claims.



Indirect costs - Represent a cost allocation charge from the DOH for shared expenses. Currently ASSUMPTION (continued)



the charge is 31.3% of total personnel and fringe costs.



Census data was derived from Information provided by the State Demographer Below 150% of the Poverty Level Between 150% and 200% of the Poverty Level Total
Seniors Age 65 and Over 167,695 89,952 257,647
Seniors Age 65 and Over That Would Meet Asset Test (1) 150,926 0 150,926
Seniors Age 65 and Over That Will Have a Coverage Gap 16,769 89,952 106,721

(1) DOH assumed 10% of the Seniors eligible for low income subsidies will not meet the asset test.



Estimates of drug costs for FY2006 were based on actual drug utilization in the Missouri Senior Rx Program during the first six months of FY2004. Because the Federal Program operates on a calendar year drug coverage under the Plan will only be available for six months of FY 2006. During the first six months of FY2004, 5.6% of Senior Rx members had drug costs high enough to reach the coverage gap. The average drug costs in the coverage gap for those members who reached it was $621. Assuming that drug costs increase at an average rate of 7% per year, the average coverage gap amount the State would have to pay on in 2006 would be $708 ($621 + 14%) for each senior that reached the gap.

















ASSUMPTION (continued)



FY 2006

Number of Potential Senior Covered 106,721
Percent of senior that would have drug costs in the coverage gap FY 2006 5.6%
Potential number of seniors with drug costs in the coverage gap 5,976
Average drug costs in the coverage gap FY 2006 $708
Total drug costs in the coverage gap $4,231,008
State's share of those costs 75%
Drug costs for the state Fy 2006 $3,173,256

Estimates of drug costs for FY2007 were based on actual drug utilization in the Missouri Senior Rx Program during the first seven months of FY2004, extrapolated to 12 months. Using the first seven months of FY2004 extrapolated to 12 months, 17.1% of Senior Rx members had drug costs high enough to reach the coverage gap. The average drug costs in the coverage gap for those members who reached the gap was $975. Assuming that drug costs increase at an average rate of 7% per year, the average coverage gap amount the State would have to participate in by FY2007 would be $1,180 ($975 plus 21%) for each senior that reached the gap.



























ASSUMPTION (continued)



FY 2007

Number of Potential Senior Covered 106,721
Percent of senior that would have drug costs in the coverage gap FY 2007 17.1%
Potential number of seniors with drug costs in the coverage gap 18,249
Average drug costs in the coverage gap FY 2007 $1,180
Total drug costs in the coverage gap $21,533,820
State's share of those costs 75%
Drug costs for the state Fy 2007 $16,150,365


DOH stated the Governor Recommendation for the Senior Rx Program was $34,925,474 for FY05. Oversight assumes since this program is eliminated, one-half of this amount would be saved in FY 06 and $35,798,611 in FY07 (applied an inflation factor). Oversight assumes this program will be operated out of the Missouri Senior Rx Fund.



Oversight does not have the detail information necessary to recalculate the program costs and cannot validate the DOH response. Oversight is presenting the cost as provided by the DOH.



FISCAL IMPACT - State Government FY 2005 FY 2006

(6 Mo.)

FY 2007
MISSOURI SENIOR RX FUND
Savings - Department of Health and Senior Services
Missouri Senior RX program $0 $17,462,737 $35,798,611
Costs - Department of Health and Senior Services
Personal service (existing Senior Rx FTE and 4 more) $0 ($254,720) ($513,648)
Fringe benefits $0 ($93,406) ($188,355)
Expense and Equipment $0 ($32,552) ($43,762)
Program costs (see table) $0 ($3,479,247) ($16,944,828)
Total Costs - Department of Health and Senior Services*



$0


($3,859,925)


($17,690,593)
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON MISSOURI SENIOR RX

$0


$13,602,812


$18,108,018

*Subject to Appropriations



FISCAL IMPACT - Local Government FY 2005 FY 2006

(6 Mo.)

FY 2007
$0 $0 $0



FISCAL IMPACT - Small Business



No direct fiscal impact to small businesses would be expected as a result of this proposal.



DESCRIPTION



This proposal closes the standard drug benefit coverage gap for certain seniors that was created due to the enactment of the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement and Modernization Act of 2003.

MISSOURI SENIOR PRESCRIPTION DRUG PLAN - The "Missouri Senior Prescription Drug Plan" is created within the Department of Health and Senior Services. Beginning January 1, 2006 and subject to appropriations, the state shall pay 75% of the standard drug benefit coverage gap of $2,850 for eligible individuals.



Beginning November 15, 2005, applications for the Missouri Senior Prescription Drug Plan will be conducted jointly with applications for the Medicare Part D benefit. The enrollment period for the state plan shall correspond with the enrollment period for the federal program.



This plan is not an entitlement and is only a payer of last resort. Benefits are limited to the DESCRIPTION (continued)



amounts appropriated for the plan. . If the costs exceed the amounts appropriated, then the Commission may direct the prescription drug plan (PDP) sponsors to implement cost-control measures, such as increasing the amount of co-insurance.



The Missouri Senior Prescription Drug Plan shall be reauthorized every four years.



ELIGIBILITY - Individuals who are 65 and older and are a participant in the Medicare Part D benefit will be eligible for the plan if their income is:

-within 150% to 200% of the federal poverty level; or

-below 150% of the federal poverty level and they fail the asset test.



COVERAGE - The plan shall provide coverage for only the prescription drugs covered in the PDP sponsors' formulary under the federal program. The plan shall not include coverage for any of the following drugs:

-those used for anorexia and weight gain;

-those used to promote fertility;

-those used for cosmetic purposes or hair growth;

-those used for coughs or colds;

-prescription vitamins;

-nonprescription drugs;

-barbiturates; and

-benzodiazepines.



The plan shall also exclude any drugs that are not "reasonable and necessary" as defined pursuant to the federal program. For covered prescription drugs, the state plan shall not be charged an amount in excess of the price charged pursuant to the federal program.



MISSOURI SENIOR PRESCRIPTION DRUG PLAN COMMISSION - The "Missouri Senior Prescription Drug Plan Commission" is created and will be composed of twelve members. Members appointed by the Governor shall serve for three years, legislative members shall serve for their current term of office, and all other members shall serve for as long as they hold the position which made them eligible for appointment.



Members of the Commission shall receive no compensation, but may be reimbursed for any expenses incurred. The Commission may also employ administrative staff as necessary to assist the Commission.



AUTHORITY OF THE COMMISSION - The Commission shall have the authority to:

DESCRIPTION (continued)



-contract with PDP sponsors for implementing and administering the plan and determining eligibility;

-adjust the fee payments with PDP sponsors;

-set and adjust co-insurance at different amounts;

-apply for federal waivers and grants;

-promulgate rules; and

-perform any other function necessary for the implementation of the plan.



MISSOURI SENIOR PRESCRIPTION DRUG PLAN CLEARINGHOUSE - The "Missouri Senior Prescription Drug Plan Clearinghouse" is created within the Commission. The purpose of the Clearinghouse is to assist all Missourians in accessing prescription drugs programs, to educate the public on quality drug programs, to maintain a toll-free number, and to provide information on eligibility, enrollment, and benefits for the plan on the Department's website.



TERMINATION OF THE MISSOURI SENIOR RX PROGRAM - The Missouri Senior Rx Program shall terminate thirty days after notice is provided to the Revisor of Statutes that the Medicare Prescription Drug, Improvement and Modernization Act of 2003 has been fully implemented.



This legislation is not federally mandated, would not duplicate any other program and would not

require additional capital improvements or rental space.



SOURCES OF INFORMATION



Missouri Senate

Missouri House of Representatives

Department of Mental Health

Office of the Secretary of State

Lieutenant Governor

Office of Attorney General

Department of Health and Senior Services

Department of Social Services





Mickey Wilson, CPA

Director

March 15, 2004