COMMITTEE ON LEGISLATIVE RESEARCH

OVERSIGHT DIVISION



FISCAL NOTE



L.R. No.: 3231-01

Bill No.: SB 856

Subject: Business and Commerce; Employees-Employers; Labor and Management; Workers Compensation; Religion; Evidence; Labor and Industrial Relations Dept.

Type: Original

Date: January 27, 2004




FISCAL SUMMARY



ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON GENERAL REVENUE FUND
FUND AFFECTED FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007
General Revenue (Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown
Total Estimated

Net Effect on

General Revenue

Fund

(Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown



Numbers within parentheses: ( ) indicate costs or losses.

This fiscal note contains 11 pages.



ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON OTHER STATE FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007
Second Injury Fund $158,836 to $258,836 $639,531 to $739,531 $899,131 to $999,131


Various State Funds
(Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown
Conservation Commission Fund Unknown Unknown Unknown
Highway Fund Unknown Unknown Unknown
Total Estimated

Net Effect on All

State Funds

(Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown



ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON FEDERAL FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007
Total Estimated

Net Effect on All

Federal Funds

$0 $0 $0



ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON LOCAL FUNDS
FUND AFFECTED FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007
Local Government (Unknown) to Unknown Unknown) to Unknown Unknown) to Unknown








FISCAL ANALYSIS



ASSUMPTION



Officials from the Office of Administration, Division of Budget and Planning, and the University of Missouri assume this proposal would have no impact on their organizations.



Officials from the Department of Labor and Industrial Relations, Division of Workers' Compensation (Division) anticipates that the combination of various changes reducing compensable injuries will combine to provide a minimal reduction in benefits, or cost savings, to the Second Injury Fund during the period covered by this fiscal note.



Based on cases disposed of in FY 2001, FY 2002, and FY 2003, the overall average case disposition time equaled 2.91 years for Second Injury Fund cases. These averages ranged from a low of 2.84 years in FY 2003 to a high of 3.00 years in FY 2001.



Since the changes in this proposal will only effect injury dates occurring on, or after, August 28, 2004, it will take several years for the full impact of this proposal to be fully reflected in a cost savings to the Second Injury Fund.



The Division made an assumption that, in its entirety, this legislation will reduce total compensable cases by 3 percent. Based on the last three fiscal years, the average number of Second Injury Fund cases resolved with an award being issued equaled 11,355. A 3 percent reduction in this number equals 11,014. Again, based on Division data, 20.30 percent of all cases are resolved one year from the injury date, an additional 37.70 percent within two years, and another additional 20.35% within three years. Since the onset of each year will initiate different first year cases, second year cases that were once first year cases, and so on, the preceding percentage amount for a given year is added to the current percentage amount, to determine the case resolution numbers. Data from the three preceding years was used to determine the average cost per resolved case.



ASSUMPTION (continued)



The final calculation, with its corresponding cost reduction to the Second Injury Fund is, therefore, as follows:



FY 2005: 11,355 (total average current cases with benefits) X 3% (total % of cases with benefits under new law) = 341 (total projected cases with benefits) X 20.30% (total % projected cases resolved under new law) = 69 (total cases resolved under new law) X $3,743 (average cost per case) = $258,835.75 total cost savings.



FY 2006: 11,355 (total average current cases with benefits) X 3% (total % of cases with benefits under new law) = 341 (total projected cases with benefits) X 58% (total % projected cases resolved under new law) = 198 (total cases resolved under new law) X $3,743 (average cost per case) = $739,530.71 total cost savings.



FY 2007: 11,355 (total average current cases with benefits) X 3% (total % of cases with benefits under new law) = 341 (total projected cases with benefits) X 78.36% (total % projected cases resolved under new law) = 267 (total cases resolved under new law) X $3,743 (average cost per case) = $999,131.49 total cost savings.



Officials from the Office of Administration, Division of Risk Management assume the proposal would generate unknown savings for the General Revenue Fund from the reduction in Workers' Compensation program insurance and costs.



In response to a similar proposal from the prior session, officials from the Department of Public Safety - Missouri State Highway Patrol state their Risk Management section, which is responsible for the administration of the Patrol's Workers' Compensation program, assume this proposal would result in additional unknown cost to their Workers' Compensation system.



In response to a similar proposal from the prior session, officials from the St. Louis Metropolitan Police Department assume costs related to passage of this proposal could be high; however, it would be impossible to calculate the cost of the proposed changes as there is no historical data upon which to base an estimate.



ASSUMPTION (continued)



In response to a similar proposal from the prior session, officials from the City of Columbia Police Department assume there would be costs and losses associated with this proposal and note there would be a significant impact on Workers' Compensation cases.



In response to a similar proposal from the prior session, the Department of Labor and Industrial Relations (DOL) noted there are approximately 20,000 peace officers in Missouri. DOL assumed, based on the limited provisions of the proposal, between zero (0) and two (2) peace officers would have compensable occupational illnesses because of this proposal. DOL assumes if the occupational illness or disease results in Second Injury Fund liability, the annual fiscal impact would be less than $50,000.



Oversight notes even though current law contains a similar provision for peace officers, the language in current law is permissive whereas the language in this proposal is mandatory. Therefore, Oversight is reflecting a fiscal impact related to passage of the proposal. Oversight assumes there would not be enough compensable claims in a given year to cause costs to the Second Injury Fund to be greater than $100,000 and therefore assume costs less than $100,000.



Oversight assumes local governments which are self-insured, could experience increased costs to their Workers' Compensation fund arising from potential increases in out-of-pocket costs and increased contributions to the fund for law enforcement officers.



Oversight assumes there would also be unknown savings to local governments for general employees' Workers' Compensation coverage.





FISCAL IMPACT - State Government FY 2005

(10 Mo.)

FY 2006 FY 2007
GENERAL REVENUE
Savings - Office of Administration



Potential Reduction in Claims Paid
$0 to

Unknown

$0 to

Unknown

$0 to

Unknown

Costs - Office of Administration
Increase in Amounts Paid for Workers'

Compensation Cases (Peace Officers)

(Unknown, could Exceed $100,000) (Unknown, could Exceed $100,000) (Unknown, could Exceed $100,000)
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON GENERAL REVENUE (Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown
SECOND INJURY FUND
Savings - Division of Workers' Compensation
Reduction in Claims Paid $258,836 $739,531 $999,131
Costs - DOL



Increase in Claims Paid (Peace Officers)
(Less than $100,000) (Less than $100,000) (Less than $100,000)
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON

SECOND INJURY FUND

$158,836 to $258,836 $639,531 to $739,531 $899,131 to $999,131
FISCAL IMPACT - State Government FY 2005

(10 Mo.)

FY 2006 FY 2007
VARIOUS STATE FUNDS
Savings - Various Agencies



Potential Reduction in Claims Paid
$0 to

Unknown

$0 to

Unknown

$0 to

Unknown

Costs - Missouri State Highway Patrol
Increase in Amounts Paid for Workers'

Compensation Cases

(Unknown, could Exceed $100,000) (Unknown, could Exceed $100,000) (Unknown, could Exceed $100,000)
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON VARIOUS STATE FUNDS (Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown
CONSERVATION COMMISSION FUND
Savings - Department of Conservation



Potential Reduction in Claims Paid
$0 to

Unknown

$0 to

Unknown

$0 to

Unknown

Costs - Department of Conservation
Increase in Amounts Paid for Workers'

Compensation Cases (Peace Officers)

(Unknown, less than $100,000) (Unknown, less than $100,000) (Unknown, less than $100,000)
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON CONSERVATION COMMISSION FUND





Unknown




Unknown




Unknown
FISCAL IMPACT - State Government FY 2005

(10 Mo.)

FY 2006 FY 2007
HIGHWAY FUND
Savings - Department of Transportation



Potential Reduction in Claims Paid
$0 to

Unknown

$0 to

Unknown

$0 to

Unknown

Costs - Department of Transportation
Increase in Amounts Paid for Workers'

Compensation Cases (Peace Officers)

(Unknown, less than $100,000) (Unknown, less than $100,000) (Unknown, less than $100,000)
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON HIGHWAY FUND



Unknown


Unknown


Unknown




FISCAL IMPACT - Local Government FY 2005

(10 Mo.)

FY 2006 FY 2007
VARIOUS LOCAL FUNDS
Savings - Various Local Governments
Reduction in Potential Workers'

Compensation Claims



Unknown


Unknown


Unknown
Costs - Law Enforcement Agencies
Increase in Out-of-Pocket Costs and

Increase in Contributions Paid to Fund



(Unknown)


(Unknown)


(Unknown)
ESTIMATED NET EFFECT ON VARIOUS LOCAL FUNDS (Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown (Unknown) to Unknown




FISCAL IMPACT - Small Business



This proposal could impact small businesses if there are reductions in the amount of Workers' Compensation benefits paid as a result of passage of this proposal.



DESCRIPTION



This proposal would revise several provisions of the state Workers' Compensation law:



DESCRIPTION (continued)





This legislation is not federally mandated, would not duplicate any other program and would not require additional capital improvements or rental space.





SOURCES OF INFORMATION



Department of Labor and Industrial Relations

Office of Administration

Division of Risk Management

Division of Budget and Planning

University of Missouri





Mickey Wilson, CPA

Director

January 27, 2004